Imagine no Iran and no tariffs and just focusing on immigration restriction/enforcement, rolling back DEI, more national guard anti crime deployments like in Memphis and DC, and a competent person like Desantis at DOJ instead of Bondi (who was picked because she is extremely loyal to Trump).
The issue with the tariffs is that some supply chains include products going back and forth. So part of a car might be done here then it goes down to mexico and then comes back up for more work here then goes back down again. So some products get taxed multiple times. The idea of a border adjustment tax where imports are taxed and exports rebated or only taxing based on the % of a product being non US made is preferred.
That said re-industrialization isn't why young people feel like the economy is hollowed out. Its because the capital flows set in stone that allow trade flows to occur inflated the price of assets
Scott is one of the few that is still giving a balanced take without going into the territory of the Retard Right and the Insane Clown Party. Other great analysis comes from John Doyle on Youtube, Patrick Casey/Restoring Order on Substack, Night Owls (Nightmare Vision on Substack), and BAP Magenta Notebooks on Substack. In terms of mainstream conservative Inc, Matt Walsh has been by far the best in recent history.
I actually hate everyone you listed with the exception of Scott Greer. The Raped Right had a seat at the table right up until this disastrous campaign kicked off
I was not attacking you Scott, I was merely trying to see your point of view on the debate with Auron. Auron's point I thought was both sides are bad, but Neocons have 100 times more money, influence, and political power than the online right. Auron probably meant the online right has much less power than Neocons do at the presidential level.
I see your point of view too where, the divide would be there even if Neocons were purged out. I like the term Paleocon right like Tucker, Auron, Thomas Massie, maybe Rand Paul versus the Neocons. Rand Paul has said he is 50/50 now on running in 2028. I might have a mailbag question for that.
I always found it sad when online White nationalist types cannot even get along with one another online. The clowns like Ethan Ralph, Richard Spencer, Katie Mchugh, or some of Nick's groypers cannot even get along with other White people at all, so how could they ever get a White ethnostate going? They play right into the stereotype the ADL and SPLC set. Scott, Jared Taylor, Peter Brimelow, and Patrick Casey bring more seriousness to it. Europeans like Martin Sellner and his wife Brittany and Eva Vlardingerbroek as well. They are few and far between in the online sphere though.
Leftists will literally watch their significant other get murdered a few feet away from them and then vote for a Far Leftist for mayor in the same city where the killing happened. This happened in NYC. Look up Ryan Carson girlfriend. That is commitment.
To get a little in the weeds of military strategy, I think the best path forward at this point to resolve the present Gulf conflict is to establish an MEU on the tip of the Musandam Peninsula in northern Oman adjacent to the Strait of Hormuz.
This unit would work to establish A2/AD over the southern half of the Strait with long-range fires, essentially acting as an "unsinkable escort vessel" without having to storm Iranian territory and while keeping our troops well out of the range of Iranian conventional/tube artillery.
If we successfully achieve A2/AD in Omani territorial waters, we could open free safe passage for shipping through that area, robbing Iran of its blockade leverage. Pair that, if needed, with an intensified bombing campaign, and I think we could bring the IRI to the table for an acceptable deal.
The good thing is, the USMC's Force Design 2030, which was introduced in 2019, is built around the idea of achieving A2/AD with distributed forces on small islands in the Indo-Pacific for a confrontation with China, so this kind of mission is ideally suited to their new force structure and would be a useful proof-of-concept.
Now, we'd probably have to keep units on the Musandam Peninsula for the long-term to ensure Iran doesn't close the straits again on a whim, but compared to invading Iranian territory or committing at least a quarter of the Navy's destroyers to perpetual Gulf escort duty, that seems like a relatively reasonable investment.
Opening the whole thing, yes. But it seems pretty clear at this point, the Navy doesn’t want to do that. And probably for good reason. You could also open the whole thing by occupying the Iranian side of it, but that would be even more of a mess.
The suggestion here is to force open only around 3-6nm off the Omani coast, just enough to provide safe passage for Very Large Crude Carriers hugging the shore in Omani territorial waters. That could probably (not certainly and not necessarily easily) be done from land.
Iran already fired missiles into Oman killing civilians in the first week of the war. More importantly, Oman is a member of the Gulf Cooperation Council, and the GCC are the primary drivers of opening the Strait, as handing Iran toll booth authority over Hormuz is existential for them. If they're too hyper-narrowly self-interested to allow it of their own accord, then it's up to Saudi, the UAE, and Qatar to strong arm them into agreement.
Wait the thing everyone said would happen if we went to war with Iran happened, the experts were right and Trump was wrong that can't be.
MAGA's legacy will be destroyed people supported the Iraq war when it happened. Now the majority of people do not approve this war already.
Scott you say there is no hope without Trump so what do you suggest we do when 2029 rolls around ? Do you seriously think the system will let him run again ? Even if it does do you think the majority of Americans will vote for him ? At what point do we just find someone new instead of telling zoomers that Trump going down an escalator was the peak of humanity ?
Grok (usually reliable on this kind of stuff) puts the likelihood of a ground invasion (hence, escalation) at less than 5 percent. Considering the massive setbacks to the Iranian regime, Trump's desire for a quick ending, the gulf states' commitment to opening up the straight, the likely scenario is the end of a limited engagement in June. It certainly hasn't hurt him in the polls, most lefties are so obsessed with ICE they don't care and the base is almost 100 percent behind it. This could've gone so much worse, I really don't understand the pessimism.
Mindless simplistic comment without an argument to back it up. Ironic. Grok is usually less than enthusiastic about anything Trump does, so I thought it was a fair assumption that its judgement on this issue (not necessarily EVERY issue) was sober and reasonable. But I have to admit I was taken aback and given pause, what with your piercing eloquence at reminding me I'm one of them thar retards. With all the apple chuckings and corn bees you've attended, I feel so humbled and am reminded of my woeful ignorance in matters concerning the wider world outside of my room, where I park your girlfriend. Best regards.
Imagine Trump’s popularity without the tariffs or Iran.
and with the DOGE cuts being a little more restrained, and just focus on DEI and lower immigration.
Imagine no Iran and no tariffs and just focusing on immigration restriction/enforcement, rolling back DEI, more national guard anti crime deployments like in Memphis and DC, and a competent person like Desantis at DOJ instead of Bondi (who was picked because she is extremely loyal to Trump).
I very much agree with you Law and Order. :)
The Tariffs are necessary and a net win. We need time to onshore our supply chains and raise wages
The issue with the tariffs is that some supply chains include products going back and forth. So part of a car might be done here then it goes down to mexico and then comes back up for more work here then goes back down again. So some products get taxed multiple times. The idea of a border adjustment tax where imports are taxed and exports rebated or only taxing based on the % of a product being non US made is preferred.
That said re-industrialization isn't why young people feel like the economy is hollowed out. Its because the capital flows set in stone that allow trade flows to occur inflated the price of assets
The idea any of these countries are "friendly" is a wild concept
We can hit China but if we hit China the imbalance the US has with China will be absorbed by other countries
Infantile understanding of geopolitics
Good analysis. Love the sobriety. If anything, erring to the side of optimism.
Scott is one of the few that is still giving a balanced take without going into the territory of the Retard Right and the Insane Clown Party. Other great analysis comes from John Doyle on Youtube, Patrick Casey/Restoring Order on Substack, Night Owls (Nightmare Vision on Substack), and BAP Magenta Notebooks on Substack. In terms of mainstream conservative Inc, Matt Walsh has been by far the best in recent history.
I actually hate everyone you listed with the exception of Scott Greer. The Raped Right had a seat at the table right up until this disastrous campaign kicked off
Scott should have a conversation with his most popular show guest in history, who has become more popular than ever since, about this subject!
I was not attacking you Scott, I was merely trying to see your point of view on the debate with Auron. Auron's point I thought was both sides are bad, but Neocons have 100 times more money, influence, and political power than the online right. Auron probably meant the online right has much less power than Neocons do at the presidential level.
I see your point of view too where, the divide would be there even if Neocons were purged out. I like the term Paleocon right like Tucker, Auron, Thomas Massie, maybe Rand Paul versus the Neocons. Rand Paul has said he is 50/50 now on running in 2028. I might have a mailbag question for that.
Where do people submit these questions? There's a few issues I want you to address
Join the Cognitive Elite!
I always found it sad when online White nationalist types cannot even get along with one another online. The clowns like Ethan Ralph, Richard Spencer, Katie Mchugh, or some of Nick's groypers cannot even get along with other White people at all, so how could they ever get a White ethnostate going? They play right into the stereotype the ADL and SPLC set. Scott, Jared Taylor, Peter Brimelow, and Patrick Casey bring more seriousness to it. Europeans like Martin Sellner and his wife Brittany and Eva Vlardingerbroek as well. They are few and far between in the online sphere though.
Leftists will literally watch their significant other get murdered a few feet away from them and then vote for a Far Leftist for mayor in the same city where the killing happened. This happened in NYC. Look up Ryan Carson girlfriend. That is commitment.
To get a little in the weeds of military strategy, I think the best path forward at this point to resolve the present Gulf conflict is to establish an MEU on the tip of the Musandam Peninsula in northern Oman adjacent to the Strait of Hormuz.
This unit would work to establish A2/AD over the southern half of the Strait with long-range fires, essentially acting as an "unsinkable escort vessel" without having to storm Iranian territory and while keeping our troops well out of the range of Iranian conventional/tube artillery.
If we successfully achieve A2/AD in Omani territorial waters, we could open free safe passage for shipping through that area, robbing Iran of its blockade leverage. Pair that, if needed, with an intensified bombing campaign, and I think we could bring the IRI to the table for an acceptable deal.
The good thing is, the USMC's Force Design 2030, which was introduced in 2019, is built around the idea of achieving A2/AD with distributed forces on small islands in the Indo-Pacific for a confrontation with China, so this kind of mission is ideally suited to their new force structure and would be a useful proof-of-concept.
Now, we'd probably have to keep units on the Musandam Peninsula for the long-term to ensure Iran doesn't close the straits again on a whim, but compared to invading Iranian territory or committing at least a quarter of the Navy's destroyers to perpetual Gulf escort duty, that seems like a relatively reasonable investment.
Opening up strait of Hormuz would require destroyers, which we don't have enough of, no?
Opening the whole thing, yes. But it seems pretty clear at this point, the Navy doesn’t want to do that. And probably for good reason. You could also open the whole thing by occupying the Iranian side of it, but that would be even more of a mess.
The suggestion here is to force open only around 3-6nm off the Omani coast, just enough to provide safe passage for Very Large Crude Carriers hugging the shore in Omani territorial waters. That could probably (not certainly and not necessarily easily) be done from land.
What do you suggest we give to Oman to get them to agree to that ? They likely would never agree to that.
It would likely take foreign aid which everyone fucking hates.
Iran already fired missiles into Oman killing civilians in the first week of the war. More importantly, Oman is a member of the Gulf Cooperation Council, and the GCC are the primary drivers of opening the Strait, as handing Iran toll booth authority over Hormuz is existential for them. If they're too hyper-narrowly self-interested to allow it of their own accord, then it's up to Saudi, the UAE, and Qatar to strong arm them into agreement.
Wait the thing everyone said would happen if we went to war with Iran happened, the experts were right and Trump was wrong that can't be.
MAGA's legacy will be destroyed people supported the Iraq war when it happened. Now the majority of people do not approve this war already.
Scott you say there is no hope without Trump so what do you suggest we do when 2029 rolls around ? Do you seriously think the system will let him run again ? Even if it does do you think the majority of Americans will vote for him ? At what point do we just find someone new instead of telling zoomers that Trump going down an escalator was the peak of humanity ?
You must have OCD because you've made the same post for several months in the replies. This post also seems to reflect poor grasp of English
You seem rather ignorant of both the english language and the U.S. political system.
Grok (usually reliable on this kind of stuff) puts the likelihood of a ground invasion (hence, escalation) at less than 5 percent. Considering the massive setbacks to the Iranian regime, Trump's desire for a quick ending, the gulf states' commitment to opening up the straight, the likely scenario is the end of a limited engagement in June. It certainly hasn't hurt him in the polls, most lefties are so obsessed with ICE they don't care and the base is almost 100 percent behind it. This could've gone so much worse, I really don't understand the pessimism.
Retard take
Mindless simplistic comment without an argument to back it up. Ironic. Grok is usually less than enthusiastic about anything Trump does, so I thought it was a fair assumption that its judgement on this issue (not necessarily EVERY issue) was sober and reasonable. But I have to admit I was taken aback and given pause, what with your piercing eloquence at reminding me I'm one of them thar retards. With all the apple chuckings and corn bees you've attended, I feel so humbled and am reminded of my woeful ignorance in matters concerning the wider world outside of my room, where I park your girlfriend. Best regards.
Did grok write that for you?
Yes, I confess, I get a bit lazy when I'm tired. You remember the girlfriend parking.