RN won a plurality of the popular vote (37%) and was defeated by an extremely unstable goofball coalition of radical leftist antifa levelers and neoliberal capitalists-PMCs. France is of course in the Eurozone, so I don't what they can do to appease the radical left.
No way Kamala would do better than Biden, even in his current state. She would be pure poison to White Working Class voters in the rust belt (some of them like Biden, think of old union guys that hate Republicans - they ain't voting for the DMV lady).
I've seen polling showing her losing to Trump by double digits even in the popular vote, while Biden loses by 5 or so. A dem needs to win the popular vote by 2-4 to win the electoral college in general, so this would be a complete blowout. That's why (in addition to the reasons you stated, i.e. Biden being an asshole) he's not going anywhere.
The polls weren't really "wrong" in 2022. Republicans only had a big lead in the generic ballot. The problem was they had a bunch of really shitty candidates. Like Mastriano and Dixon (who ran on banning abortion in purple/blue states), Blake Masters (who ran on privitizing Social Security in a state full of boomer retirees), Oz (Muslim Turkish dual-citizen), Adam Laxalt (capaign run by the same geniuses that ran the Desantis campaign) etc. Plus the Kari Lake election was just outright stolen. And you had the camera "failure" during counting as well in NV (Laxalt might have eked it out without fraud).
Then you had McCarthy and McConnell outright sabotaging pro-Trump candidates (denying them money so they were massively outspent by dems), especially in close house races.
And of course the abortion issue as you mentioned in many of your podcasts. That brought our a bunch of super-low-propensity voters (that pollsters would have screened out as unlikely voters) who voted on that single issue.
Another issue was the fact that a lot of Trump's base is made up of low-propensity voters that just don't vote when he's not on the ballot.
RN won a plurality of the popular vote (37%) and was defeated by an extremely unstable goofball coalition of radical leftist antifa levelers and neoliberal capitalists-PMCs. France is of course in the Eurozone, so I don't what they can do to appease the radical left.
No way Kamala would do better than Biden, even in his current state. She would be pure poison to White Working Class voters in the rust belt (some of them like Biden, think of old union guys that hate Republicans - they ain't voting for the DMV lady).
I've seen polling showing her losing to Trump by double digits even in the popular vote, while Biden loses by 5 or so. A dem needs to win the popular vote by 2-4 to win the electoral college in general, so this would be a complete blowout. That's why (in addition to the reasons you stated, i.e. Biden being an asshole) he's not going anywhere.
The polls weren't really "wrong" in 2022. Republicans only had a big lead in the generic ballot. The problem was they had a bunch of really shitty candidates. Like Mastriano and Dixon (who ran on banning abortion in purple/blue states), Blake Masters (who ran on privitizing Social Security in a state full of boomer retirees), Oz (Muslim Turkish dual-citizen), Adam Laxalt (capaign run by the same geniuses that ran the Desantis campaign) etc. Plus the Kari Lake election was just outright stolen. And you had the camera "failure" during counting as well in NV (Laxalt might have eked it out without fraud).
Then you had McCarthy and McConnell outright sabotaging pro-Trump candidates (denying them money so they were massively outspent by dems), especially in close house races.
And of course the abortion issue as you mentioned in many of your podcasts. That brought our a bunch of super-low-propensity voters (that pollsters would have screened out as unlikely voters) who voted on that single issue.
Another issue was the fact that a lot of Trump's base is made up of low-propensity voters that just don't vote when he's not on the ballot.